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Hanover Bancorp, Inc. /NY (HNVR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • EPS was $0.47, essentially in line with consensus $0.473, while revenue came in below consensus ($16.68M vs $18.75M) as SBA loan sale volumes remained soft; NIM improved YoY and expenses declined sequentially . EPS estimate and revenue estimate values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Net interest income grew 16.2% YoY to $15.2M with NIM at 2.74% (vs 2.37% a year ago), aided by lower cost of interest-bearing liabilities; non-interest income declined YoY on lower gains on loan sales .
  • Asset quality mixed: NPLs rose to $17.2M (0.86% of loans) from $12.7M in Q2, though allowance coverage increased to 1.12% of loans; management cited residential mortgage additions to NPLs with strong collateral .
  • Management reiterated a normalized 25% tax rate for the remainder of 2025 and declared a $0.10 dividend; tone constructive on NIM tailwinds from expected FOMC cuts and an improved yield curve .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • NIM expansion and NII growth: Net interest income rose to $15.2M (+16.19% YoY), NIM reached 2.74% (vs 2.37% in Q3’24); monthly NIM for September was 2.83% .
  • Pre-provision earnings and cost control: PPNR was $6.0M with PPNR ROA of 1.05%, and non-interest expense fell $0.6M sequentially on lower incentive comp, data processing, and professional fees .
  • Strategic focus and growth: Loans increased $22.2M QoQ (to $1.99B), with growth in niche-residential and conventional C&I; book value per share rose to $27.03 and TBV/share to $24.43 .

Quote: “Continuing performance should be positively influenced by further FOMC rate decreases and an improved yield curve, positively impacting our liability sensitive balance sheet and potentially increasing lending opportunities.” — Michael P. Puorro, Chairman & CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue miss and softer non-interest income: Gains on sale of loans declined YoY ($1.45M vs $2.83M), driven by lower SBA loan sales; total non-interest income fell to $2.79M (vs $3.95M) .
  • SBA pressure persists: SBA loan sales fell to ~$11.4M (vs $27.1M in Q3’24) with lower gains; management cited “higher-for-longer” rates, tariff uncertainty, and tighter credit standards .
  • Asset quality uptick: NPLs increased to $17.2M (0.86% of loans) from $12.7M in Q2 (0.64%); ACL/loans rose to 1.12% from 1.10% .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS ($)$0.48 $0.33 $0.47
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$13.10 $14.80 $15.22
Non-Interest Income ($USD Millions)$3.95 $3.56 $2.79
Net Interest Margin (%)2.37% 2.76% 2.74%
Return on Average Assets (%)0.62% 0.44% 0.61%
Return on Average Equity (%)7.35% 4.93% 6.90%
Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.86*$16.00*$16.68*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Q3 2025 versus Wall Street consensus:

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
EPS ($)$0.47*$0.473*-0.7%*
Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.68M*$18.75M*-11.0%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment/portfolio mix (loans, $USD Millions):

Segment12/31/20246/30/20259/30/2025
Residential mortgages$702.8 $715.4 $725.9
Multifamily$550.6 $539.6 $537.3
CRE – Owner Occupied$261.2 $267.2 $267.1
CRE – Non-Owner Occupied$298.5 $271.6 $271.2
Commercial & Industrial$145.5 $148.9 $161.2
Home Equity$26.4 $23.4 $25.6
Consumer$0.5 $0.4 $0.4

Key KPIs:

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
PPNR ROA (%)0.85% 1.04% 1.05%
NPL / Total Loans (%)0.77% 0.64% 0.86%
ACL / Total Loans (%)1.17% 1.10% 1.12%
Book Value per Share ($)$25.89 $26.52 $27.03
Tangible Book Value per Share ($)$23.28 $23.94 $24.43

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Effective tax rateRemainder of FY2025~25% normalized ~25% normalized Maintained
Dividend per shareQ3 2025$0.10 declared for Q2 $0.10 declared for Q3 Maintained
C&I lending activityFY2025Expects growth as year progresses Expects growth as year progresses Maintained
SBA loan originations2H 2025 → 2026Anticipates higher volumes as transition to 2026 Lower-than-expected originations and gains; outlook cautious Lowered/Uncertain
NIM outlookFY2025Tailwind from late-2024 rate cuts Positive influence from expected FOMC rate decreases and improved curve Constructive bias

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available; themes compiled from company earnings materials.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Interest rates/NIMNIM rose to 2.68% in Q1; 2.76% in Q2; liability-sensitive balance sheet benefits from rate cuts NIM 2.74% (Sept monthly 2.83%); expects further tailwinds from FOMC cuts and curve steepening Improving
SBA originations/salesQ1: $23.4M sold, premiums impacted by market/SOP changes ; Q2: $22.3M sold, headwinds from rates/tariffs/tighter credit Q3: $11.4M sold; gains down; same headwinds reiterated Softening
C&I growthQ1: $16.8M originations ; Q2: $29.3M originations and growing pipeline Q3: $24.1M originations; expects lending/deposits to grow Gradual growth
Asset qualityQ1: NPLs down to $11.7M (0.60%) ; Q2: NPLs $12.7M (0.64%) Q3: NPLs up to $17.2M (0.86%), largely residential mortgages with ~58% LTV; ACL to 1.12% Mixed
Technology/efficiencyCore conversion to FIS Horizon completed; expected operational benefits Lower data processing costs contribute to opex decline QoQ Efficiency tailwind
Regional expansionPort Jefferson branch opened in Q2; municipal deposits relationships at 40 Municipal relationships up to 42; deposits +$20.5M YTD; liquidity strong Expanding

Management Commentary

  • “Our third quarter performance reflects positive notes, including increased Pre-Provision Net Revenue of $6.0 million driven by an increase in net interest income and lower operating expenses.” — Michael P. Puorro, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Continuing performance should be positively influenced by further FOMC rate decreases and an improved yield curve, positively impacting our liability sensitive balance sheet and potentially increasing lending opportunities.” — Michael P. Puorro .
  • Liquidity and deposits remain strong: undrawn liquidity sources were $712.2M (~253% of uninsured deposits), with insured/collateralized deposits ~86% of total .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available; therefore, Q&A highlights and any live guidance clarifications cannot be provided for this quarter.

Estimates Context

  • EPS printed essentially in line with consensus ($0.47 vs $0.473), suggesting net interest performance offset lower non-interest income; revenue missed materially ($16.68M vs $18.75M), primarily on lower SBA loan sales and gains . EPS and revenue consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Given persistent SBA headwinds (rates, tariffs, tighter credit) and QoQ decline in non-interest income, revenue estimates may need to drift lower until loan sale activity normalizes or other fee lines offset .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • NIM tailwinds and cost discipline supported EPS stability despite non-interest income pressure; watch for continued liability cost relief and curve dynamics into Q4 .
  • Revenue miss driven by SBA softness; monitor loan sale volumes and premiums as a swing factor for quarterly revenue variability .
  • Asset quality mixed with higher NPLs (residential) but strong collateral and increased ACL/loans to 1.12%; track resolution pace and coverage adequacy .
  • C&I momentum and niche-residential growth underpin loan expansion; pipeline at ~$179M with emphasis on niche-residential/SBA/USDA .
  • Capital and book value accretion continue (BVPS $27.03, TBVPS $24.43); dividend maintained at $0.10, offering a stable capital return profile .
  • Liquidity robust (~$712M capacity, 253% of uninsured deposits), insulating funding amidst deposit mix shifts; insured/collateralized deposits ~86% .
  • Near-term trading: in-line EPS plus revenue miss suggests headlines could focus on fee income weakness; medium-term thesis hinges on NIM tailwinds, efficiency gains post-core conversion, and resumed SBA activity as macro headwinds abate .